Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000830 0.000944 0.001066 0.001203 0.001354 0.001515 0.001697
2025-03-16 0.000636 0.000793 0.000970 0.001183 0.001432 0.001710 0.002045
2025-03-23 0.000537 0.000711 0.000918 0.001176 0.001489 0.001852 0.002301
2025-03-30 0.000464 0.000650 0.000879 0.001177 0.001549 0.001992 0.002555
2025-04-06 0.000402 0.000593 0.000837 0.001165 0.001586 0.002100 0.002767
2025-04-13 0.000347 0.000539 0.000793 0.001144 0.001605 0.002183 0.002947
2025-04-20 0.000319 0.000517 0.000786 0.001168 0.001683 0.002337 0.003217
2025-04-27 0.000291 0.000493 0.000775 0.001184 0.001747 0.002474 0.003468
2025-05-04 0.000259 0.000457 0.000744 0.001171 0.001770 0.002558 0.003649
2025-05-11 0.000228 0.000422 0.000710 0.001150 0.001779 0.002621 0.003804
2025-05-18 0.000211 0.000405 0.000703 0.001165 0.001837 0.002750 0.004047
2025-05-25 0.000193 0.000386 0.000689 0.001169 0.001880 0.002858 0.004264
2025-06-01 0.000167 0.000352 0.000650 0.001136 0.001868 0.002891 0.004382
2025-06-08 0.000145 0.000321 0.000614 0.001103 0.001856 0.002923 0.004497
2025-06-15 0.000131 0.000303 0.000599 0.001101 0.001886 0.003015 0.004697
2025-06-22 0.000119 0.000288 0.000585 0.001100 0.001919 0.003109 0.004902
2025-06-29 0.000107 0.000270 0.000565 0.001089 0.001935 0.003180 0.005073
2025-07-06 0.000094 0.000250 0.000541 0.001069 0.001934 0.003225 0.005209
2025-07-13 0.000089 0.000245 0.000544 0.001092 0.002003 0.003374 0.005497
2025-07-20 0.000083 0.000238 0.000541 0.001108 0.002059 0.003504 0.005759
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000223 0.000523 0.001095 0.002070 0.003567 0.005921
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000208 0.000502 0.001075 0.002067 0.003607 0.006052
2025-08-10 0.000062 0.000202 0.000500 0.001089 0.002120 0.003734 0.006314